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Thursday, December 29, 2011

A New Year's Six Pack of Picks

A little early for your holiday weekend.  For those keeping track, last week's selections would have gotten you to 2-3 (with one pick still outstanding).  So crack open that champagne, head out to the track, and always remember...the more you bet, the more you win.

1. KC Chiefs +3.5 over Denver
It's a tough week in the NFL, but one game I feel pretty good about is the Chiefs over the Broncs.  Not only because the Chiefs are better on the offensive side of the ball (Tim Tebow is a fraud...), but because the players want Romeo Crennel at the helm.  He needs this win to cement his resume, and his boys will come to play.

2. Green Bay -2.5 over Detroit
You think GB is going to lay down and die for a DIVISION OPPONENT?  I just can't see it.  GB is the better team on offense, and will continue to roll on their home field.  The Lions are already in the playoffs, so they'll sit just as many starters as the Packers in the second half.

3. Minn +1 over Chicago
The Bears suck.  Injuries are a major part of that.  The Vikings suck.  Injuries have a little to do with that.  I'll give the advantage to the Vikes with Toby Gerhart and Christian Ponder over Josh McCown and ??? at RB for the Bears.  Hey, someone has to win...

A bowl win for Iowa?  Don't count on it.
4. Oklahoma -13.5 over Iowa (Insight Bowl)
That Marcus Coker guy isn't going to play for Iowa (don't know if you heard yet), therefore 80% + of the run game is sitting at home.  You can't switch to a spread offense in 15 practices, so while some teams can survive without a running game, the Hawkeyes aren't one of them.  Sorry Hawk fans, but unless Jordan Canzeri, De'Andre Johnson, and Jason White have a third gear we haven't seen yet this season, it's going to be a long night in the desert.

5. Houston -7 over Penn State (TicketCity Bowl)
If you thought the off-field issues were bad for Penn State before, they've only gotten worse.  The QB's are fighting with the receivers, and who will be under center still remains to be seen.  The season can't get over quick enough for the Lions.  On the flip side, Houston was one win away from being in the BCS mix, but because of their conference affiliation, they ended up here.  Case Keenum will go out with a win.  Mark my word.

6. Oregon -5.5 over Wisconsin (Rose Bowl)
The Ducks score a lot of points.  The Wisconsin defense will give up a lot of points.  No matter how well the Badger offense decides to be, the game will be decided on the defensive side of the ball for Wisconsin. I'll take Oregon going away.

Have a great weekend and a happy new year!

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