A New Year's Six Pack of Picks

A little early for your holiday weekend.  For those keeping track, last week's selections would have gotten you to 2-3 (with one pick still outstanding).  So crack open that champagne, head out to the track, and always remember...the more you bet, the more you win.

1. KC Chiefs +3.5 over Denver
It's a tough week in the NFL, but one game I feel pretty good about is the Chiefs over the Broncs.  Not only because the Chiefs are better on the offensive side of the ball (Tim Tebow is a fraud...), but because the players want Romeo Crennel at the helm.  He needs this win to cement his resume, and his boys will come to play.

2. Green Bay -2.5 over Detroit
You think GB is going to lay down and die for a DIVISION OPPONENT?  I just can't see it.  GB is the better team on offense, and will continue to roll on their home field.  The Lions are already in the playoffs, so they'll sit just as many starters as the Packers in the second half.

3. Minn +1 over Chicago
The Bears suck.  Injuries are a major part of that.  The Vikings suck.  Injuries have a little to do with that.  I'll give the advantage to the Vikes with Toby Gerhart and Christian Ponder over Josh McCown and ??? at RB for the Bears.  Hey, someone has to win...

A bowl win for Iowa?  Don't count on it.

4. Oklahoma -13.5 over Iowa (Insight Bowl)
That Marcus Coker guy isn't going to play for Iowa (don't know if you heard yet), therefore 80% + of the run game is sitting at home.  You can't switch to a spread offense in 15 practices, so while some teams can survive without a running game, the Hawkeyes aren't one of them.  Sorry Hawk fans, but unless Jordan Canzeri, De'Andre Johnson, and Jason White have a third gear we haven't seen yet this season, it's going to be a long night in the desert.

5. Houston -7 over Penn State (TicketCity Bowl)
If you thought the off-field issues were bad for Penn State before, they've only gotten worse.  The QB's are fighting with the receivers, and who will be under center still remains to be seen.  The season can't get over quick enough for the Lions.  On the flip side, Houston was one win away from being in the BCS mix, but because of their conference affiliation, they ended up here.  Case Keenum will go out with a win.  Mark my word.

6. Oregon -5.5 over Wisconsin (Rose Bowl)
The Ducks score a lot of points.  The Wisconsin defense will give up a lot of points.  No matter how well the Badger offense decides to be, the game will be decided on the defensive side of the ball for Wisconsin. I'll take Oregon going away.

Have a great weekend and a happy new year!

Holiday Six Pack of Picks

Happy Holidays to everyone!  Here's your weekly six pack of picks for Christmas weekend.  And trust me, you can take these right to the bank.  As my friend Ken Miller reminds me, the more you bet, the more you win.  HERE WE GO!

1. Kansas City -2 over Oakland
It's not about Kyle Orton in KC, he just happen to come along at the opportune time.  It's about the coach.  With Todd Haley out of the way, Romeo Crennel has a roster stacked with up and comers, and should run the table the rest of the way out.  No offense to Haley, but he had to be the worst in the league at motivating his players.  Crennel getting the bath last weekend was my favorite scene of this NFL season. 

2. Dallas -1 over Philly
It just comes down to who needs it more here.  The division is up for grabs.  Dallas needs the win to basically lock in up, and Philly needs the win and a ton of help to get it done.  If the game is in Philly, I might go the other way, but Dallas won't lose in Jerry's house with a division title on the line.

3. GB -13 over Chicago
Green Bay has had their wake-up call.  And I'll be Jermichael Finley loads up on the stick-em this weekend.  On top of that, Chicago is going with...wait for it...Josh McCown at QB.  Where the hell is Brett Favre when you need him?  Green Bay rights the ship, and seals up home field advantage with the win.

Pass me another Matty Ice, Teddy!

4. Atlanta +7 over New Orleans
Two bitter division rivals.  Two playoff teams.  Too many points.  I'll bet the Saints win the game, and Drew Brees goes crazy, but Matty Ice and the Falcons will keep it close.  This Falcons team in dangerous...they're not one I'd like to face in the postseason. 

5. Prince Fielder's New Team: Milwaukee Brewers
Last week, I'd have thought the Rangers were a lock to sign Prince, but after committing $50 million plus just to TALK with Yu Darvish, I'm not sure Texas has the cash Fielder is asking for.  The Nationals seem to be the team now (after all, they gave a stupid contract to Jason Werth last year, so why not?), but have a great 1B in Michael Morse already.  I think the delay, and teams not wanting to give out ten years and big bucks, will open the door just enough for Milwaukee to make an offer Prince will listen to.  It won't be for ten years, it won't be for $200 million, but why wouldn't Fielder listen to an offer of 6 years and $150 million?  They're a long shot, but I think the Brew Crew creeps back into this thing.

6. Over/Under # of drinks Joe consumes this weekend: 10
I'd say the over is probably a pretty safe bet.  Holidays around the Quinn household mean a few pops with family and friends.  I wish the best to you and your family.  HAPPY HOLIDAYS!

Coker, McCall, Fielder, and more

As we head into bowl season, here are a few hot topics we've touched on this week. 

Marcus Coker suspended for Insight Bowl
Nobody seems to know exactly what happened (except those closely involved), and as per the usual, no official answers will ever come from the Hawkeye mafia.  I've heard everything from theft, to assault, to cheating, to taking candy from a baby. 

Whatever Coker did, a feel safe in making a few educated guesses - first, the suspension didn't come from Ferentz.  All of his comments point to the University powers that be making this call.  Second, it sure sounds like it won't be a long term deal.  On his call-in show last night, Ferentz did say that he won't make the trip and they'll have more "next semester."  It makes me think academic, but I'm not sure it fits in this case. 

Everyone I've talked to has said Coker is a good kid, so I have no reason to think the worst...at least not yet.  All we know for sure is he's out for this game, and hasn't been removed from the program.

Mika'il McCall's future at Iowa looks grim
A source in Iowa City told me that it would be "surprising" if McCall ever suited up for the Hawkeyes again.  Unlike Coker, the buzz around McCall has not been positive.  When asked about McCall last night on his call in show, Ferentz was quick to respond with, "...he won't be making the trip." 

We know McCall hasn't been practicing, and was suspended after one carry (and one fumble) in the game against Purdue.  Based on everything that's out there and my gut feeling, I'd say McCall will forever live as a one-quarter wonder in a Hawkeye uniform.

Matt Barkley coming back to USC
Not surprising, but I'm glad to see the kid decide he likes playing college football enough to wait another year before heading to the NFL.  The rookie pay scale in the league no doubt takes some of the risk out of the decision, but still, good for Barkley.

Cubs set to blow up roster and rebuild
Our buddy David Kaplan of CSN Chicago floated this idea out there on the show yesterday, and it makes perfect sense.  The Sean Marshall deal is just a small portion of the equation - unload a costly veteran and pick up a cheap arm for the future in Travis Wood.  Cubs fans need to start thinking about this team two years from now.  Anyone that won't help you two years down the road isn't going to be a good fit. 

Unfortunately, that probably means no Prince Fielder on the North side.  Speaking of which...

Prince Fielder and his ten year deal
The days of ten year deals in MLB should be over.  It's too long.  I have no problem with a five year deal at $30 million per season in the right circumstance, but this is crazy.  In my opinion, any GM thinking of giving ten years is crazy and should be fired.

Happy Holidays everyone!

What's Up Wednesday? CP3 and more...

For this edition of "What's up Wednesday?," I'll take a quick look at some of the things I just don't get from the past week in sports, politics, and more.  Enjoy.

1. Chris Paul being held hostage by the NBA
So the NBA goes on strike for the better part of a year, nearly cancels their entire season, and now the owners are flexing their collective muscles trying to keep a struggling franchise from rebuilding?  WTF IS UP DAVID STERN?  I could see a problem if the Hornets were trying to trade Paul for JJ Barera and a second round pick, but this was a good deal for New Orleans.  They would have gotten two quality players from Houston, a great role player in Lamar Odom from the Lakers, and a first round pick in the deal.  That's almost a rebuilt starting lineup right there.  I'm not sure what the real story is, but my gut tells me the NBA's "small fish" (see: Dan Gilbert) don't want to let LA get any better than they already are.  You can bet the Lakers would have found a way to bring Dwight Howard into the fold, and another NBA "dream team" would have been born.  Only difference would be this one would be built to win - a scorer in Kobe, a distributor in Paul, and best big man in basketball underneath.

2. Cardinals fans being upset over the Pujols signing
Be happy you won't have to grotesquely overpay the man for five or six years down the road.  Is he a great player?  Yes...no question.  Is he the best fit in St. Louis?  I'm not as convinced.  You're already overpaying Matt Holiday, and would have been forced to go north of $200 million to land Pujols.  Pujols is on the decline - maybe it won't be for a few years, but on a ten year contract, you might get five or six quality seasons before age takes its toll. It opens the door to start a new era in St. Louis.

3. Rick Perry
I just don't get the guy.  Does he think the country is eager to elect another George W. Bush?  I get it...you're from Texas, probably carry a gun, and for some reason can't remember what you want to do if elected.  Those three facts alone probably don't qualify you for the job.     

Photo: http://www.flickr.com/photos/rosepetal236/2610974981/sizes/z/in/photostream/

Six Pack of Picks - 12/9

I think I'll make this a new Friday tradition here on the site - six picks for your weekend enjoyment.  Go out, have a couple of afternoon pops, start your weekend early, and take these bad boys right to the bank.

Fair disclosure, I've haven't done worth a damn over the past month, so you'll most likely get taken to the cleaners.  That being said, here we go!

1. NFL: Miami -3 over Philly
Not that Miami is that good, but Philly looks like they've given up on the season.  With each week that goes by, it starts looking more and more like Andy Reid will need to pick up some change of address forms after the season.  Maybe Michael Vick, too, if he can't stay healthy.  The NFL's "dream team" looks like they should be playing in the CIML, and I'd probably pick the Colts to beat them at this point. 

Don't worry - I'm just holding the other one...

2. NFL: Jets -10.5 over KC
Rex Ryan might run his mouth a lot, but he also puts up when he needs to.  The Jets are a team that has been hard to figure out this year, but look to me like they've been more consistent as of late, winning two in a row and are 5-1 at home. There are five teams in the AFC (including NYJ) that are 7-5, likely battling for one playoff spot.  The Jets need this one.   And besides, KC sucks.  I'm actually thinking about cheering for them to stick Stanzi under center as see what he can do.

3. NFL: San Fran -3.5 over Arizona
So a team that's 10-2 is only a three and a half point dog to a team that's 5-7?  Am I missing something here?  A win over Dallas does not make Arizona a quality team (see: stupid coaching decisions- who ices their own kicker?), and San Fran is the second best team in the NFL right now.  This one is an easy call.

4. NFL: Denver -3.5 over Chicago
Well, hate it or love it, Tim Tebow is a winner.  It aint pretty, but the kid makes DJ Khalid proud.  If Jay Cutler is under center for Chicago, it's a different story.  But Denver gets it done at home and wins by a TD.

5. NCAA BB: Iowa State -9.5 over Iowa
All favorites so far, so why switch now?  I love Royce White, I like Chris Babb, and I can tolerate Scott Christopherson for ISU.  As for Iowa?  Four technical fouls against an MVC school is just unacceptable.  It was a 20 point blowout that Iowa handed UNI on a silver platter...don't forget - it was a two point game when the T's starting flying.  Basabe looks like he's taken three steps back this year, Cartwright has been a cry-baby so far, and Gatens is still the pedestrian 10 points a game guy he was when he came in as a freshman.  Sorry Hawks, this one goes to ISU.

6. Andrew Luck wins the Heisman Trophy
It should go to Robert Griffin III, and I hope it does.  But Andrew Luck is the chosen one.  Remember the same guys that vote on these kind of awards haven't put Joe Jackson or Pete Rose in the Hall of Fame yet. 

Have a great weekend.

How good are the Angels?

With Albert Pujols signing with the Angels, it's hard to think that anyone else will be able to contend in the AL West.  However, I'm convinved it won't be the Angels offense that will carry them into the playoffs, it will be their pitching.

By acquiring CJ Wilson (who might be the highest paid #3 starter in the bigs now...), the Angels will trot out Jared Wever, Danny Haren, Wilson, and Ervin Santana.  For my money, that's as good of a rotation as what Philly brings, and it's a heck of a lot younger.

The better news for Angels fans, is with Albert taking over 1B/DH duties (and yes, I think Pujols will see time at DH as soon as next season), it makes either Kendry Morales or Mark Trumbo expendable, and thus available for trade. 

While the Angels already have a surplus of starting pitching, the team could look to trade Morales or Trumbo to add another pitcher or some young guns for the farm system.  If they team has one weakness, it might be the bullpen...but then again, what team couldn't use another arm out of the pen?

Bottom line: The Halos are set.  With an outfield that features Torii Hunter, Vernon Wells (assuming he can bounce back...), Peter Bourjos, AND Mike Trout, and a decent infield with Erik Aybar, Alberto Callapso, and Maicer Izturis, them team is loaded and ready to contend now. 

Today's moves make the Marlins look like small fish.  The Angels are for real.

High School Hoops - Hoover is GOOD.

It was a great way to start our high school hoops coverage last night, with two close games at Urbandale High School .

In the end, the Hoover girls and boys were both victorious, so we'll give the battle for Aurora Avenue to the Huskies.

A couple of observations - for the Hoover girls, a team with a proud basketball tradition that has struggled the last few years (and the first game of the season), it was nice to see them get into the win column early this season.  They won four games a year ago, and should easily pass that mark this season.  I really liked the way Sunday Duop played last night - she's got a nice move to the basket off the dribble, and has enough size to be a legitimate rebounding threat.

The Urbandale girls struggled to score when they needed points late in the game, and I'll chalk that up to youth more than anything.  Urbandale played a handful of sophomores last night and two freshman.  Even though top scorer Bailey Egger is a senior, the bulk of Coach Tiby's team are underclassmen.  They'll get a lot better as the year progresses, and could be really good in coming years.

Same story holds true for the Urbandale boys... a lot of youth, especially at key positions.  The big men for Urbandale need some seasoning, and will get better as the year progresses.  The point-guard combo of Alexander and Razor will work out well for Coach Bjorkgren...both of them have the ability to make good cuts and get to the rim.  The Jayhawks missed free throws in key situations last night, the mark of a young team.

As for the Hoover boys, look out.  This team is built to win now.  I thought the Huskies would struggle after losing top scorers Kelly Madison and Onterior Brown, but Coach Henderson's bunch has reloaded for another run deep into the state tournament.  We all knew Dwight Sistrunk Jr. would be good this season, but he was lights out last night.  Very few turnovers, several great assists, and he showed the ability to cut to the basket anytime he felt like it, including when he was double teamed.  He has two great shooters in Louie Ingoli and Cameron Woods on the wings, and forward Golat Toang showed flashes of brilliance last night.  Toang has put on some muscle over the off-season, and looks to be poised to jump onto the scene as the next star player in the CIML.  He can jump out of the gym and has good speed - so good, in fact, he over-ran some of the plays last night and got himself out of position.   Hoover is back folks...keep and eye on the Huskies.

Friday night we make our way to Valley High School for the Tigers vs. DM Roosevelt.  6 PM pregame, with the girls tipping off around 6:15.

Read more: http://www.kxno.com/pages/kxnoprepreport.html#ixzz1fDqR9tSW

Oh, and by the way...

Big breaking news from Ferentz's press conference today.  No Mika'il McCall and no Jordan Canzeri on the road at Nebraska this weekend.  McCall violated a team rule, and Canzeri still hasn't been able to practice.  Here's what Ferentz had to say on McCall:

Mikail McCall

Q. Can you elaborate on McCall?
 FERENTZ: He won't be with us. Violated team policy.
Q. Was it something after Purdue, after the game?
COACH FERENTZ: I think the fact he's not going this week, it's probably safe to assume that, yeah, something I learned afterwards, so...
Q. Just a one-week deal with him?
COACH FERENTZ: Haven't made that decision yet. We'll just take it a week at a time right now. I'm just trying to get through Friday. That's where I'm at.

That means Jason White and De'Andre Johnson will take over the #2 and #3 spots on the depth chart at RB.  A scary thought for Hawk fans at two levels: you don't have an explosive "change of pace" back, and you're looking at having to rely on one of those two guys if Coker goes down.

Iowa's overcome injuries and adversity at the RB spot before (remember when Coker was thrust into the spotlight last year?), but it makes you nervous thinking that such a pivotal part of Iowa's offense in one injury away from a big time question mark.

3 Players: Iowa vs. Nebraska

It's Farmageddon time!  (Or whatever you prefer to call it - I like Iowa vs. Nebraska, but you know...)

The Hawks start a new rivalry this Friday, and will come into the game as 9.5 point underdogs. The game seems to have lost a lot of cache, as both teams have failed to live up to their fan's expectations (welcome to Iowa football), but will still end up having an impact on what Bowl games both teams are destined for.  If Iowa is going to win the game, here are the three players that will need to step up.

And for the record, in the previous "3 players" entry for the game vs. Michigan State, McCall didn't see the field, Nielsen had a mediocre game, and Norm was...well...he was Norm and not much else.  Iowa got rolled, so I'll give myself a win.

1. Jordan Bernstine, S
You could make an argument that every player on the Iowa defense is going to have to play lights out if Iowa is going to win.  Against Nebraska, you've got a few extra challenges.  Rex Burkhead is a monster in the backfield, Taylor Martinez can still burn you with his feet, and has finally started to figure out how to throw the football.

When there's a big threat to run, it usually means the front four and linebackers need to step up.  Well, I'm just not sold that the big men in the trenches are capable this season, and the linebackers have been so-so throughout the year with a few flashes of brilliance.  When you start talking about a safety being involved to slow down the run, you know it's not a good thing, BUT, sometimes it's the way things play out.  Bernstine has shown real promise at times this season.  Literally, the difference between a gain of three and a gain of four could be what this game comes down to.  That's where having an active safety can save you. 

2. Keenan Davis, WR
Everyone and their dog knows Marvin McNutt can play.  Nebraska will make sure he's covered up more plays than not.  That means someone else is going to pose a "big play" threat down field, and that someone has to be Keenan Davis.  I like the way Martin-Manley plays, and he has a bright future, but in what's been a somewhat disappointing season, Davis needs to have a big day in Lincoln. 

3. The Iowa Fans
A little cliche, don't you think?  That's why I saved it for the end.  Former ISU QB Austen Arnaud told us that the entire stadium shakes in Lincoln when the crowd gets behind the Huskers, sort of like how an X-Box controller shakes in your hands.  How ever many Iowa fans manage to weasel their way into Memorial Stadium will need to cheer extra loud to help the Hawks feel at home in a hostile environment.       

ISU fans call for no more games vs. Drake? REALLY?

After watching Drake beat Iowa State at the Knapp Center last night, I woke up this morning to this little gem on my daily cruse through CycloneFanatic.com:

Despite our lackluster performance last night, there is still no reason that team should have lost to Drake last night. Our players were recruited to Iowa State because their talent was Big 12 level, not Missouri Valley. When you play in Hilton Coliseum in front of 12k to 14k fans, and the other arenas in the Big 12, it can be very difficult to transition down to play a game in a glorified high school gymnasium full of 4k to 5k fans. This letdown, along with Drake's extra motivation to beat the BCS conference team, plays extremely far into Drake's (and any other mid-major)'s favor. Mizzou does not play Missouri State; Kansas and Kansas State do not play Wichita State.... it's time for Iowa State to only play this game at home, at Wells Fargo, or else not at all. If this team hits its stride in Big 12 play, and develops a tournament resume, last night's game at Drake will be a thorn in our side, and possibly even a burst our bubble. It is time to quit catering to a private school who's success directly hampers our ability to compete and reach the next level. We might as well play a schedule North Carolina or Duke if we're going to lose at Drake, instead.

Nothing against the poster, you're certainly entitled to your opinion.  Now, let me express mine...

Let me shed a little light on the subject.  I agree with your first two sentences - there's no way Iowa State should lose to Drake.  Big 12 talent (especially the likes of Royce White, Chris Babb, and co.) shouldn't be losing games to a middle-of-the-pack MVC school. 

Too bad after that, your analysis totally goes to hell. 

Your contention that the size of the arena somehow contributed to the loss is total crap.  If you can't win in a "glorified high school gym" (your words), then how do you ever expect to win on the road at KU?  Or Baylor?  Or Texas?  The reason Drake is on your schedule in the first place is so you can get a win on the road over a mid-major program from a quality conference.  It would go a ways to help YOUR tournament resume- wins at home over cupcakes aren't going to get you an at-large bid.  

The more important issue here is why ISU lost the game, and in my mind it comes down to two key things. 

First, Iowa State hasn't developed any kind of "chemistry" yet on offense or defense.  Too many times down the court, it wound up being a one-on-one situation - one player brings the ball up the court, tries to make something happen, and ends up settling on an off balance shot driving wildly into the lane.  There was no set play, no scheme, just ballin'.  That won't work against a veteran team like Drake that's played together for a full year. 

On defense, there were some awful matchups.  On at least three occasions, I saw Scott Christopherson guarding Jordan Clarke (PF) while Royce White was on Karl Madison (PG).  Coach Hoiberg hit the nail on the head in the postgame- the team threw the defensive game plan out the window.  They don't understand the concept of "team defense" yet.  There needs to be more organization on both ends of the court.  For the first time since Mark Phelps arrived at Drake, it looked like the Bulldogs were in a solid scheme for all 40 minutes. 

The other red flag for Iowa State is their lack of size.  Royce White (6'9") was the biggest man on the court last night for ISU, and even he got out-muscled inside on a number of occasions.  If you got beat up by Drake, imagine what KU or Baylor will do.  ISU didn't run many fast breaks last night, and they may have to get out of the halfcourt, grind-it-out offense if they don't magically find some size.  

Iowa State may have top-25 talent, but they are far from a top-25 team.  The good news for ISU fans is Hoiberg is a good coach, and knows what has to be done.  By the time January rolls around, it will be a completely different team.  

I doubt Drake will be coming off the schedule any time soon.  And I wouldn't count on Duke or North Carolina coming to Hilton either. 

Can there be a "fair" trial for Sandusky?

For the record, I hate this story.  I wish it would go away and never come back.  That being said...

Bob Costas added yet another tremendous interview to his resume last night, as he had Jerry Sandusky on the phone, lawyer by his side, on Brian William's "Rock Center."  Give credit to Costas, who I consider to be one of the premier sports commentators of our time, for asking the right questions.

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Does Sandusky sound like an innocent man?  No.  Not even close.  Should he have to stop and think about whether or not he's sexually attracted to young boys?  Nope.  That should be an easy one.

What's starting to worry me about this case, is that the United State Constitution provides for a "fair" trial for those accused of a criminal offense.  With all the media hype and strong opinions being floated, they may have to move this trial to Mars to find an impartial jury. 

So while Mr. Costas may have another great interview on his resume, he may have been playing right into the hands of the defense by throwing this lunatic on national TV.  The last thing any of us want to see is a long legal battle that puts Sandusky back on the street through some loophole.    

Six-Pack of Picks

Call it a "sneak peak" if you want, be here's the six games I'm taking a look at for today's show - you can hear the complete breakdown around 6:15 on 1460 KXNO. 

NCAA:

1. Minnesota +27.5 over Wisconsin
Yes, Wisconsin will be leaving Minneapolis with Paul Bunyan's Axe.  And, Minnesota stinks.  BUT, I personally don't think they stink 27.5 points.  The Gophers are coming off their two best games of the season, a win over Iowa and a seven point loss to Sparty on the road.  There's no way Minnesota wins the game, but they play well enough in the rivalry game to keep it close.

2. Iowa +2.5 over Michigan State
Looking back two weeks ago, I liked Iowa's chances over Sparty better than I did against Michigan and Denard Robinson.  The Hawks defense woke up last week, and I like their chances against a pocket-passing Kirk Cousins much better than the mobile QB's they faced against Michigan and Minnesota.  Iowa wins the game outright, and heads to Purdue looking for their first road win of the year.

3. K-State +5 over Texas A&M
A&M has been somewhat inconsistent this year, losing four games, but to four good teams.  K-State has been the biggest surprise in the Big 12, giving Oklahoma State all they could handle last week.  The game is at K-State, and in my mind, the wrong team is favored.  Give me the Wildcats and the points.

NFL

4. Atlanta +1 over New Orleans

Matty Ice?  Yes please!

"Matty Ice" should finally get all of his weapons back this week.  Julio Jones had quite the coming out party last weekend, and Roddy White is finally (and I mean FINALLY) getting close to full speed.  Add in Tony Gonzalez and Michael Turner in the backfield, and this is an offense that can stand up to anyone in the league.  New Orleans isn't without weapons - I love what Darren Sproles has been able to do, and rookie Mark Ingram is on his way back from injury.  If the game was in New Orleans, it might be a different story, but I'll take the Dirty Birds in the Georgia Dome.

5. Green Bay -14 over Minnesota
All the stars have aligned against the Vikings in this one - Rookie QB?  Check.  First trip to Lambeau?  Check.  Prime time TV on Monday Night Football?  Check.  Oh, and the fact you're squaring off against the consensus mid season MVP and the defending Super Bowl champs?  Sorry Vikes fans, it's not going to happen. 

6. KC -3 over Denver

Tim Tebow, say hello to Tamba Hali.  And Derek Johnson.  And Brandon Flowers (yes, I think the secondary will play a role in this one).  An option offense just won't work in the NFL...especially when you go on TV and tell the opponent that's what you're going to do.  I can see the smile on John Elway's face already - my bet is Tebow get speared at some point in this game and is carried off the field.  For his sake, he's just lucky Eric Berry is injured.  KC gets the ship pointed back in the right direction with a win over Denver. 

Enjoy your weekend. 

3 Players : Iowa vs. Michigan State

Coming off their most impressive Big 10 win of the season, the Iowa Hawkeyes will be back in action with another "must win" game against Michigan State to keep their Legends Division title hopes alive. 

For whatever reason, Brady Hoch decided not to utilize his biggest weapon (his mobile quarterback) last weekend, and Iowa got a few lucky breaks down the stretch.  This week, the Hawks will get the stronger defense from the state of Michigan, and my leading candidate for most disappointing player in the Big 10, Kirk Cousins, under center. 

In my view, here are the three key players for the Hawks this weekend:

1. Mika'il McCall, RB
Kirk Ferentz admitted during his weekly press conference that McCall was ready to go last week, but it was the head coach that needed a little push.  Honestly, Ferentz didn't give himself that push because the Hawks didn't need that "change of pace" running back against the Wolverines.  This week will be a different story.  Sparty's defense is much stronger than their in-state brethren, and Coker up the middle 25 times isn't likely to be nearly as effective.  While Coker is a great back, he's not exceptionally great at getting to the edge and making defenders miss- he's a back that runs into contact and bowls people over.  Even if it's just for a series or two, the Hawks will need to spread Sparty's defense out to give Coker some room, and while throwing the ball will do just that, having a back that can get to the edge can help as well.  I'd like to see McCall get 7-10 touches tomorrow and remember what it's like to be on the field before you hit the road the rest of the season.

2. Tyler Nielsen, LB
The move to the middle did him some good.  Maybe it was the switch, maybe he just woke up, but for the first time this season, it looked like the Iowa defense had a player with a "killer" instinct tracking in the Wolverine backfield.  Nielsen was able to run down Denard Robinson on a couple of key occasions and force him into poor decisions.  Kirk Cousins is nowhere near as mobile, and could be on his back more than once this weekend thanks to Mr. Nielsen.  His leadership from the LB position will be key.

3. Norm Parker, Defensive Coordinator
Just when I was ready to write Norm off, he finally decided to break from the same old game plan just enough to pull off a win.  Now, give Michigan 20 more seconds on the clock, and it might be a different story.  Parker will need to continue to mix it up, especially as the second half wears on, to keep Sparty guessing just enough to get the job done.  I used to think Iowa's defense just got fatigued late in games and couldn't finish.  I'm starting to buy into the thought that other teams knew what was coming, and were able to adjust.  Throw in a blitz or two.  Bring the DB's 3 yards closer to the line.  Bring in a nickleback once in a while.  I'm not suggesting a complete overhaul, just a wrinkle here and there.

Prediction: It will be a tall task to come up with another upset this weekend, but that being said, I didn't see last weekend coming either.  The game opened at Iowa +3 in Vegas, and has been bet down to +2.5.  I'll agree with the bookies, and take Iowa plus the points.

Penn State Reaction

Sum it up in one sentence: It makes me sick.

I could probably stop right there and still say everything that needs to be said, but I'm more of a "glass half full" type guy, and want to take a little bit different look at this situation.  The question for Penn State now becomes, how do they move forward?  How do you put this awful chapter in history behind you and start the long process of rebuilding what you've lost?  And trust me...you will lose everything, which is not even close to what the victims have lost.  Before you sit there and whine about having to start with nothing while rebuilding your program, think about the victims for a minute. 

That being said, here's what I would do.

First of all, Joe Paterno, Tim Curly, Schultz, McQueary, the President, all need to go.  In fact, I'd get rid of the entire coaching staff, support staff, basically anyone that had contact with the program - right down to the guy that writes game recaps for the website.  I'd get rid of marketing people, associate AD's, ticket office staff - basically anyone that's not a coach for a different sport.  As for Sandusky?  He'll be in prison for the rest of his life - so off to hell with him. Start completely from scratch. 

Second, I'd tear down the building where these incidents were said to have occurred.  If you can't tear it down, a major renovation should be in order that completely rearranges everything.  Don't even let the thought creep into a recruit's mind that a sex crime might have taken place where he is standing.  Awful.

Third, I'd self-impose a massive penalty on the program.  When you think about it, what happened here makes the Pony Express at SMU look like an extra dinner at a booster's house.  In this era, you obviously can't cancel a season or anything along those lines, but I would self-impose a post-season ban for at least two years, and take all TV revenues (or at least a major portion) and set up a "victim's fund" of some sort.  Don't tell me that's too much money - if that's the case, then let's put your eight year old in a room with this monster - tell me what you would spend to stop that nightmare.  Penn State could've done just that.  They didn't.  Now it's time to pay the piper. 

And that's just to start. You're going to need some good-will on your side as you start the process. 

Finally, I'd make damn sure you learn something from this whole exercise- not just at Penn State, but the entire NCAA.  Cover-ups seem to be more and more common in college sports, and it's time for a major change in the culture.  The days of "internal investigations" into these matters need to be over.  The cost of this lesson has already been too high to bear. 

The clock is running and as of now, we are officially keeping score.  It's time to make a change.

Conference Realignment

With this "new" mess really hitting the fan today, I thought it was time to pick up the pen and paper again.

First - even working in sports radio, I don't know what's REALLY going on.  Don't believe anyone that tells you otherwise.  Second, I can say with a great amount of confidence, that five years ago, this is a much more civilized debate with more fact and much less BS. 

Why?  One word: TWITTER. 

Everyone gets to be their own little breaking news reporter, and its much tougher to tell what's real and what's not.  That being said, I love Twitter, am on it every day, but be cautious as to who you trust.

To do my part to fuel the rumor mill, here's what I've heard so far today (in no particular order):

1. Mizzou has an invite on the table to join the SEC, and the SEC will wait to see the future of the Big 12 before asking Mizzou to commit (courtesy KC Star)

2. The SEC hasn't offered anyone an invitation except for Texas A&M (courtesy USA Today / SEC)

3. Oklahoma will stay in the Big 12 only if Dan Bebee is gone, and if there is equal revenue sharing

4. Pitt and Syracuse have been accepted into the ACC, but may have to give 27 months notice before leaving the Big East, and pay $5 million to the conference

5. The Pac-12 may only be lukewarm on inviting Texas and Oklahoma to join their league. 

6. The Big 12 and Big East may combine to form one league for football.

7. West Virginia may have been shot down in trying to join the SEC and ACC

8. EVERY conference in America will gladly open their gates for Notre Dame, should they want to join a league.

So, of those eight statements, how many would you bet will still be true tomorrow?  I'll say one, but don't bet on two.  Stay tuned for more.

MLB Trade Deadline: 2 Days and Counting

The big chips are yet to fall.  And we're all on the edge of our seats waiting...

Carlos Beltran may have already been dealt to the Giants, but I'm not going to count it as a long-term meaningful move.   The Giants acknowledge they'll get Beltran for three months, and then he'll be back on the market trying to get way more money than he's worth.  Done deal.  It helps them in the short term, but there hasn't been a franchise shifting move made just yet.

Here are the top 5 players that could still be dealt, at least in my estimation:

1. Hunter Pence, Astros
I'll say he stays in Houston.  The Phillies will have to get a third team involved and give away too much to get him in the long run.  And after all, is Hunter Pence really worth your best pitching AND hitting prospect?  The Braves don't want to include ANY of the top pitching prospects in the deal (at least from what we can gather), and no one else has the juice to make it happen.  So, my guess is Pence wears an Astros uniform the rest of the year.  Too bad for him.

2. Heath Bell, Padres
Time to get your ass in gear, San Diego.  Fat relief pitchers don't tend to hold their value for very long, and Bell's clock could already be running.  Mark my word, he will be moved before the deadline, most likely to the Rangers, or (gulp) Phillies.  If the Pence deal falls through for Philadelphia, you can bet the phone will be ringing in San Diego...because the Phil's bullpen sucks on paper.  The only holdup appears to be San Diego's clubhouse sudden shift into a shopping center (the whole team seems to be on the block). They haven't made a deal yet, but the change of address forms are next to the pregame meal.

3. Ubaldo Jimenez, Rockies
I'll put Jimenez into the "I don't care where he ends up" category, mainly because the Yankees and Red Sox appear to be the two main teams in the mix.  The Reds suddenly find themselves out of contention, and I have a hard time believing that Cleveland is seriously in the mix, despite some reports to the contrary.  On top of that, he's been so-so at best since the All-Star break last season.  6-9 this season with a 4.20 ERA.  Probably not a guy I'd give up the farm for at this point.

4. BJ Upton, Rays
Quickly becoming "overlooked" in the trade market.  It sounds like Upton has some baggage that at least a few clubs aren't willing to take on, and is in the midst of a season where he is hitting just .228 with a .309 OBP.  Not tremendous for a lead-off hitter.  The only reasons the Rays seem to be shopping BJ are his salary, which will become too much for Tampa in the coming years, and the emergence of Desmond Jennings behind him.  I don't think TB will get a great proposal for Upton, and he remains a Ray.

5. Hiroki Kuroda, Dodgers
Sounds like he will be traded, and I could care less.  Why?  He's 6-13 (an awful record, even considering where he pitches), and his two likely destinations are Boston and New York.  See above for more.

The "Sleepers" that could be on the move: Aramis Ramirez, Cubs; Michael Bourne, Astros; Josh Willingham, A's.  For the first time today, Ramirez indicated he might be willing to waive his no trade clause for the right destination.  For all the Cubs' fans out there, I hope they can find him a home.  Another difference maker could be RP Mike Adams of the Padres- he's got great stuff out of the bullpen. 

It's time for the shoe to drop.  Lets get moving on this thing.

The Braves Need A Bat....Badly

Brian McCann is out for a month.  Chipper Jones is day-to-day with a multitude of injuries.  Jason Heyward is in a season long slump.  Martin Prado hasn't performed well since coming off the DL.  Nate McLouth and Alex Gonzalez suck at the plate.  Need I say more? 

The Braves will make the playoffs.  There's almost no question of that.  Their pitching alone is enough to carry them into the postseason, but if Atlanta wants to avoid another early exit in October, they'll need to add another legitimate (preferably right-handed) bat to their lineup.  They'll also need at least two of the guys mentioned above to snap out of it and start hitting. 

With Colby Rasmus heading to the Jays, and all signs pointing to Beltran going to the Mets (thank god- at least the Braves didn't end up with the most over-rated and over-paid player in NY Mets history), it's time to dig deep and get a deal done.  Atlanta has been reluctant to move any of their top four pitching prospects (Minor, Tehran, Vizciaino, Delgado), but as long as you get someone in return that will be around for more than three months, it might be time to pull the trigger.  Here are four scenarios that will play out well for Atlanta fans.  We'll call the group of four pitchers listed earlier as the "First-Tier" prospects, and everyone else in the system a "Second-Tier" prospect for the purposes of this discussion.

1. Braves send 1 first-tier and 3 second-tier prospects to Houston for OF Hunter Pence
It's the best case scenario for the Braves, but will cost them a ton to pull off.  The package I've listed might not even be enough to get the job done.  Look, Pence is still under club control for two more years, and is one of the most electric players that is available.  He's a legit middle of the order bat, plays good defense, and is an all-around great person (at least according to everything I've heard).   He plays right field, which created somewhat of a positional problem in the OF, but either Pence or Heyward are capable of playing in center with some work.  If you're going to have to give up a haul to get a bat, give up more and get a good one. 

Could Hunter Pence be Atlanta bound?

2. Braves send a first-tier and a second-tier prospect to Houston for OF Michael Bourne
He'll bring speed, defense, and be a legitimate lead-off hitter.  A little bit bigger risk, just because you'll need your other guys to hit behind him.  The Astros are much more likely to part with Bourne than Pence, and it fills a dual role. 

3. Braves send 3-second tier prospects to the Rays for OF BJ Upton
Not my favorite proposal.  He only has one year of arbitration left, and will be looking at a raise from $4.85 million.  And, despite hitting 15 HR this year and over 50 RBI's, he only sports a .227 BA.  The Braves need guys to get on base more consistently, and Upton's a career .250 hitter with a .702 OPS.  There's just something about Upton that makes me a little uncomfortable, but he'd be an upgrade over what is in place now.  I'm just not sure he's enough to push this team over the top. 

3. Braves send 2 first-tier and 2-second tier prospects to the Baltimore for OF Adam Jones
You're giving up the farm, but you're getting an All-Star outfielder coming into the prime of his career in return.  He's under club control for two more years, and is showing signs of becoming a top-tier outfielder in the game.  He makes $3.25 million this year, and will be due raises through arbitration the next two seasons.  If you're going to give up so much, get the best guy back you can.  Jones may fit that bill. 

It's time for Frank Wren to roll up his sleeves and make a deal.  I'm excited to see what he has planned.

The North Side Solution

10 days to the MLB trade deadline and counting... (had to get that out of the way)

First of all, sorry for no post yesterday- I really wanted to put some time into this one, as I know its a topic a lot of readers deeply care about.  After examining the contenders in the NL Central the last two days, I thought it would be fun to take a look at a non-contender and see how to fix them...

The Cubs suck.  End of story.  Might be the worst team in all of baseball. 

I should probably qualify that last comment- even though the Cubs may have a better record than some other clubs (take the Astros for example), when you look at the whole picture - record, financial situation, prospectus, farm system - they are, in my opinion, the worst team in baseball. 

The bad news for all you North Siders out there is no quick fix.  The club has tried that in the past, and have ended up doing nothing more than digging a deeper hole.  At this point, it's time to stomach the truth...it's going to have to be a full-scale rebuild. 

I know a lot of the Cubbie faithful are screaming for Mike Quade's job, blaming the skipper for the Cubs' woes.  You've got to remember- it's not his fault.  He's only been there one season, and is more than capable of managing a big league club.  He's the perfect guy to lead your rebuilding effort- a relatively young, fresh manager that doesn't have any preconceived notions.  I met him a few times when he managed the AAA team here in Iowa- trust me when I say Quade isn't the problem. 

The point of this post isn't to point the finger, but if you're looking to the guilty party, you need not look any further than the front office.  The CONTRACTS are the problem.  For about a ten year period, the Cubs gave outrageous contracts to players that either weren't worth the money in the first place, or had yet to display any kind of sustained promise.  Jim Hendry will be done at the end of next season (if not sooner), but in his defense, a lot of the damage was already done when he took office. 

Time to get constructive- so how do we fix this thing?  Well, take a look at each position- for each spot, I've broken down who is there now, and the top option that is available to the Cubs from here forward.  The Cubs current payroll is around $135 million - way too high for a team that doesn't have a legitimate All-Star player.  Remember- reasonable contracts and payroll flexibility are going to be key in rebuilding this team.  The biggest reason they ended up where there are now is they can't make any deals because of how awful the contracts are.  Here's the way I see it:

First Base
Currently: Carlos Pena
Pena is a nice player.  Probably not a guy thats ever going to hit .300 with 30 home runs and 100 RBI's, but he's not a bad piece.  Ideally, you'd like to get a little more production out of your first baseman, but Pena at first is a lot better option (by a long shot) than some of the other guys in their spots on the field.  Pena's contract is very manageable: 1 year, $10 million, no strings attached.  For a veteran player that's hit 20 HR's and 51 RBI's, despite just a .227 BA, it's not an awful deal.  If the Cubs have to re-sign Pena for another year or two, it's not the end of the world.  The bad news for Pena is that 1B is the spot where the Cubs can make the biggest improvement right away. 

Best Case Scenario: Prince Fielder signs as a free-agent following the season
I know most Cubs fans are wondering, "Why not Pujols?"  Lets be honest- chances Albert leaves St. Louis: about 10 percent.  Chances Fielder leaves Milwaukee: about 100 percent.  Yes, it would be nice to get Albert into a Cubs uniform, but do you remember that thing I mentioned earlier about bad contracts?  Yeah, it's going to take a doozy to get Pujols.  Although he's been one of the best players in the game, he's going to be coming out of his peak years as opposed to going into them, and 8-10 years at close to $30 million a year is too much to ask.  Fielder will demand big money as well, but at least he's a younger player that might come a little bit cheaper.  He's still going to be a $20 million plus per year type guy, but it's a much better gamble then 10 years to a star thats on the wrong side of 30.  Fielder could be the centerpiece of the Cubs lineup for years to come.  You have to at least roll the dice on him. 

One side note- if you can't get Fielder, Bryan LeHair has been on fire at AAA Iowa this year...he wouldn't be an awful option at 1B, but he's probably not a franchise altering player.

Second Base
Currently: Darwin Barney, Jeff Baker, Blake DeWitt, and several other warm bodies
It's been second base by committee for a while on the North Side, and the final answer may finally be coming into place.  Barney is the future- he's managed to hit .299 so far in his first major league season with an OPS of close to .700.  He has only struck out 36 times in 314 PA this season, and plays decently in the field.  He won't blow you away with his power numbers (just 1 HR this year), but how many teams rely on their second baseman for 25 home runs?

Best Case Scenario: Darwin Barney
He's a first year player that will be under club control for years to come.  An option that's both cheap and high quality.  SO, WHEN THE PHILLIES CALL OFFERING UP CHASE UTLEY- DONT DO IT!  The old Cubs would have said yes, the new Cubs will say no.

Shortstop
Currently- Starlin Castro
I'm not even going to spend any time on this one.  He's the best young player in the system, and won't even be arbitration eligible until next season.  You can't possibly do any better here.

Best Case Scenario- See above.

Third Base
Currently: Aramis Ramirez
Our first pink elephant in the room.  David Kaplan from ComCast Sports Chicago told me the other day he wouldn't keep Ramirez if I offered to pay his salary.  He won't approve a trade, likely because he's lazy and doesn't want the responsibility of playing for a contender.  Barring a small miracle, the Cubs will be stuck with him for the rest of the year, and luckily, no longer.  He was once a top-5 third baseman, but those days are long gone.  He's worn out his welcome in Chicago- get rid of him ASAP. 

Best Case Scenario: ???
It's the weakest position in the majors right now, with guys like Chipper Jones and David Wright battling injuries and winding down careers.  There are a few options in the minors- Josh Vitters could be useful some day, and Marquez Smith is on the DL right now at AAA Iowa, but can contribute at the major-league level.  Blake DeWitt can slide over and play a decent third base, but he's probably not ready to be an everyday player just yet.  Bottom line, is clear out Ramirez' $14.6 million salary, and you've got some money to play with elsewhere.

Catcher
Currently: Geovany Soto
Trade him.  He's still has two years of arbitration left before he becomes a free agent, and after making $3 million this year, he'll be due a raise despite hitting just .238 with 8 HR and 24 RBI's so far this season.  He's striking out once every four times he comes to the plate, and has been somewhat of an injury concern.  He's only hitting .268 in his career, and just hasn't come around like most of the fans hoped he would.  He's now 28 years old, and not getting any younger.  Soto is the perfect example of a "change of scenery might do him some good" type player.  There will be someone that will give you a prospect in return- take it.  Same story with Koyie Hill.  Time to make a change.

Best Case Scenario: Wellington Castillo from AAA Iowa
He made his first All-Star team at the AAA level this season.  He's got a great arm, and plays solid defense.  The bat still has a little ways to go, but I don't think you'll lose much offensively from what you were getting with Soto.  Keep working with Castillo, and you might end up with a nice, cheap piece for years to come.

Outfield
Currently: Alfonso Soriano, Marlon Byrd, Kosuke Fukudome
I'd keep Marlon Byrd, at least he plays the game the right way.  And he makes just $6.5 million next season, a relative bargain for the potential he brings. 

The rest of the outfield is the laughing stock of the league.  I made a case for Yuniesky Betancourt being the worst everyday player in the majors a few days ago, but Soriano gives him a run for his money.  And at least Betancourt isn't making $19 million a year.  Soriano may be a great guy (at least according to David Kaplan), but he's been regarded as the worst defender in the game for several years, and now he can't run anymore and can't hit.  He's essentially become a $19 million black hole in left field.  If he's this bad now, imagine what he'll be like in three years, when his contract finally expires. There's no question that the contract the Cubs gave him will go down as the worst in major league history. 

Soriano recently said he'd be open to a trade.  Most baseball types think (and I agree) his contract will be a major obstacle- after all, who wants to pay $60 million for a guy that can't hit, run, or play defense besides the Cubs?  They'll have to eat a lot of it, and I mean probably $40-$50 million, to get someone to bite, but they should still do it.  The other option is to pay the full amount to have him ride the pine. 

Fukudome is in the same boat.  $14.5 million this year is way to much to pay for a guy that is, at best, a mediocre fourth outfielder.  There have been some rumors floating around that teams might be interested in acquiring Fukudome for a stretch run, and if that's the case, then unload him now.  If the Cubs decide to keep Fukudome, then he'll have to take a major pay cut to be the fourth outfielder. 

Best case scenario: Marlon Byrd, Brett Jackson, and a FA Outfielder
Byrd is in place for at least one more year.  Brett Jackson is the top prospect in the system, and just got promoted to AAA.  He should be ready by the start of next year.  Keep Fukudome as a fourth outfielder if you want.  The key will be signing a decent FA outfielder to a REASONABLE contract.  The FA class doesn't blow you away, but there are some guys that can contribute.  Depending on where Carlos Beltran ends up after July 31 of this year, he could be an option for a few seasons, so long as you could sign him to a reasonable deal.  Josh Willingham is another quality option that could come at an affordable price.  Otherwise, guys like Ryan Ludwick or Cody Ross could plug a hole for a year while you try to find a long-term solution. 

Pitching
Currently: Matt Garza, Ryan Dempster, Big Z, Randy Wells, Rodrigo Lopez
I like Garza- $5.9 million this season with two years of arbitration left.  I'd stay with him.  I even like Dempster at $14 million next season- it's more than what he's worth, but outside of a terrible start, he's pitched like a solid #2.  If you can trade Zambrano, do it.  If not, he has one season left at $19 million (awful), but his 2013 option isn't likely to vest (he has to finish in the top 4 in Cy Young voting in 2012- dont think so).  Randy Wells is a decent fifth starter, but nothing more.  Lopez is simply filling a need right now. 

Best case scenario: Garza, Dempster, and three more...
The farm system is loaded with arms right now.  Trey McNutt, Chris Carpenter, Jay Jackson, and Hayden Simpson are all players that could contribute at the major league level someday.  They'll all be arriving at different times, so you may need to grab a FA starter, but nothing major.  The key with pitching is to stay patient and wait for the guys in the system to develop. 

So that's a look at the Cubs and one potential fix.  Around the horn, the club would look like this on opening day:

C- Wellington Castillo
1B- Prince Fielder
2B- Darwin Barney
SS- Starlin Castro
3B- Blake DeWitt / Marquez Smith
OF- Marlon Byrd
OF- Brett Jackson
OF- Josh Willingham./Ryan Ludwick/other FA
P- Ryan Dempster/Matt Garza

Not only does that lineup look better on paper, but much easier on the checkbook. 

MLB Trade Deadline- 12 days and counting...

Keeping with the spirit of yesterday's post, I thought I'd take a look at another club in the NL Central that is in the mix to win it- the Milwaukee Brewers.

Biggest team need: Infield (SS)

Take a look around the diamond at a Brewers game- you've got NL MVP front-runner Prince Fielder at 1B, All-Star 2B Rickie Weeks, All-Star OF Ryan Braun, a power threat in OF Corey Hart, and a few other serviceable players.  Then you get to SS, and find the guy that might be the worst everyday player in the majors, Yuniesky Betancourt.

The Brewers have to win now.  Prince Fielder is likely on his way out via free agency.  The farm is bare after the team stripped the system to trade for Zach Grienke and Shawn Marcum.  They just brought in Francisco Rodriguez, who will also likely leave, being a free-agent after this season.  Trotting a guy out to short-stop everyday that probably shouldn't even be in the majors seems to run contradictory to the plan. 

Betancourt is hitting a mere .239 this season with only 30 RBI's, and a OPS of just .600.  His OPS ranks him near the bottom of MLB SS...not trying to be hard on the guy, but it's tough to have such a gaping hole in your lineup (the Brewers also have to deal with Casey McGehee and his sub .600 OPS) and be a contender. 

The good news is given who is manning position 6 right now, pretty much anything is an upgrade. 

Matt Meyers of ESPN.com floated out an interesting idea recently, suggesting the Brewers try to acquire Rafael Furcal from the Dodgers.  When you think about it, the deal makes perfect sense.  The Dodgers are desperate to cut payroll (Furcal makes $10 million this season, and then is a free-agent), and the Brewers have very little to give back talent-wise.  Given the awful shape the Dodgers are in (Furcal won't be the only player needing some change of address cards in LA), getting something in return from a team willing to take on Furcal's contract is a win. 

If the Brewers are able to pull the trigger on a deal to replace Betancourt at SS, and if Grienke is able to get the train back on the rails, the Brew-Crew easily becomes the team to beat in the NL Central.   

MLB Trade Dealine- 13 days and counting...

So now that the All-Star break is officially over, it means two things in my book- time to get back to blogging, and time for the hot stove to really start heating up.

The Brew-Crew already has made a big splash in the trade pool by acquiring K-Rod from the Mets (I'm not convinced this was a great move, but they needed to do something to push other teams in the division), but the best deals are yet to come.  Over the next few days, I'll take a look at a few teams that I think are in need of the most help at the deadline to push them over the top. Feel free to disagree, I am crazy at least half the time, after all...

St. Louis Cardinals
Biggest Need: Pitching (at both ends)
The way I see it, the Cards have managed to get by offensively all season with at least one key piece missing each and every night.  Once Pujols gets back to 100%, and Colby Rasmus actually comes within sight of his potential, the offense should be sound.  Berkman is on fire, Holiday is solid, and Molina is a good bat in the 6-7 spot. 

Pitching wise, I'm not so sure.  Think about this one: who closes games for St. Louis?  If you guessed Fernando Salas, you are correct!  If you're a club that wants to make a run in the postseason, are you comfortable with Salas in the 9th?  How about this one- can you name 3 starting pitchers in St. Louis?  Carpenter, Garcia, and...???  McLellan, Lohse, and Westbrook round out the starting 5, but the addition of another starter would help.

The downside (and potential upside) for the Cardinals is there are four teams within four games of the lead in the NL Central.  Even if two of those teams fall off, this division is going to be a dogfight that comes down to the final day of the season.  Good thing for St. Louis their last nine games are against the Mets, Cubs, and Astros.  Milwaukee has made the first move, now its time for the Cardinals to follow suit.

Pittsburgh Pirates
Biggest Need: Starting Pitching
See above- but can you name one starting pitcher in Pittsburgh?  Uhhh.....???  The starting five: Kevin Correia, Paul Maholm, Charlie Morton, James McDonald, and Jeff Karstens.  Yeah- that's a rotation that WILL NOT get you into the postseason.  If by some miracle it does, it WILL NOT get you past the first round. 

It's been something like a hundred years since the Pirates even had a winning record (Barry Bonds looked like me back then).  I understand this team may not be there yet, but when it's been this long since you've even been .500, the time is now. 

The really surprising thing is all the buzz seems to be around the Pirates trading for a bat.  Josh Willingham, Aramis Ramirez, and even Hunter Pence have all come up in connection with the Pirates.  I'm just not sold that the rotation is solid enough to compete down the stretch.  Remember- offense may sell tickets, but defense wins championships.

ALL STAR GAME QUICK HITS

With the MLB All-Star game (and literally NOTHING else) on tonight, I figured I'd give out a few quick hits on some story lines I'll be keeping an eye on during the mid-summer classic.

MOST DESERVING SELECTION- FAN VOTE: Jose Bautista, Blue Jays - a no-brainer in my book

MOST DESERVING SELECTION- PLAYER VOTE: Joel Hanrahan, Pirates - so what if it's a hometown pick.  He's been one of the two best players on a team that has surpassed all expectations this season.  If he's not a most-deserving pick, I don't know who is.

MOST DESERVING SELECTION - GOT IN AT THE LAST MINUTE- Craig Kimbrel, Braves - he's been one of the best closers in the NL (arguably the best, but Hanrahan and Brian Wilson have had great years too- that would be a fun topic for another day), and recently set the first half rookie saves record held by some guy named Pappelbon.  He slid in at the last moment, but could have been picked from the start.

Joel Hanrahan deserves the nod

BIGGEST HEAD SCRATCHER- Jordan Walden, Angels - Huh?  Who?  He's the closer for the Angels, so I guess I just don't pay enough attention to west coast ball.  He got in when Mariano Rivera was sidelined by injury.  Aaron Crow of the Royals is a close second...I know the Royals still might be in the "we've got to send somebody" category, but they're a much better team than to be sending a relief pitcher - and after all the no-shows, still no Alex Gordon...that's a crime.

ALL-STAR MVP PREDICTION- Andrew McCutchen, Pirates - Yep, he's that good.  My prediction is he makes at least one stellar catch in the outfield and hits a home run to pick up MVP honors.

WHO WINS TONIGHT- National League.  After the AL dominated forever, it seems the better pitching (at least the pitching that's going to show up tonight) is in the NL.  Beings as it's been a pitcher's game the past two years, I'll say the NL takes it.

Why I like the All-Star Game

In an age when it seems like every radio personality is hating on the All-Star game, you've managed to find one that still loves it.  Call me old-fashion if you want, but when the best of the best take the field tomorrow, I'll be locked and loaded with a cold one in front of my TV until the end. 

Why?  For the better part of my life (26 years and change), I spent one hot July night sitting in my living room, watching the game with my dad.  I always caught the Home Run Derby the night before, and for a 12-year old kid in Iowa, the All-Star game on Tuesday night was as good as it got.  I've never cared if it "meant something," it was always a way to spend a summer evening and see the guys with the most valuable baseball cards on the same field on the same night. 

I won't pretend to have many great "All-Star Game Memories," or any "Top Moments," but one or two do come to mind.  The extra-innings game a few years ago where the AL topped the NL stands out in my mind- Nate McLouth throwing to Russel Martin at the plate to prolong the game was a great moment- then Scott Kazmir coming out on short rest to basically put the game on a pitch-count right before the end...(Where have two of those three guys ended up?)  The extra-innings game would come to most people's mind, but that didn't do much for me.  It makes me sad to see guys bow-out of the game for various reasons, but there's always one or two more in line that are just as deserving. 

One more note- I'm glad to see the guy that caught Jeter's 3000th hit give the ball back.  A real class move in my mind.

All-Star Final Vote - NL

All-Star fever may have reached it's pinnacle this season, as we head into the final 24 hours of the "Final Vote."  MLB has been doing this for the past ten years or so to drum up fan support heading into the break, and it's done a fine job.

Not only have we seen two-man teams jockey for votes (shades of racing at Daytona...), but now teams are offering perks (50% off tickets, auction entries, etc.) to drum up support for their players on the final ballot.  Not necessarily a great gauge of who is the most deserving, but interesting none the less. 

The one downside of having fans vote on the final spot is it means someone that might be more deserving will get snubbed at the last minute.  Here's my take on this year's NL ballot:

THE CANDIDATES:

Ian Kennedy, P- Arizona Diamondbacks
Michael Morse, 1B- Washington Nationals
Shane Victorino, OF- Philadelphia Phillies
Todd Helton, 1B- Colorado Rockies
Andre Ethier, OF- LA Dodgers

THE LEADER (as of Wednesday, July 6):

Shane Victorino, PHI

WHO SHOULD WIN:

Michael Morse, WAS
Whether he's a late bloomer or just a one-hit wonder, Morse has been the heart and should of the Nationals lineup this season.  Rapidly approaching 30-years old, Morse came to the Nationals in a trade for Ryan Langerhans (Remember him? He's in AAA now barely hitting his weight). 

Since April (where he hit under .215), Morse's numbers have been outstanding- .298 BA for the year, 15 HR, and 46 RBI.  The strikeout-to-walk ratio is a little out of whack (62 K's to just 16 BB), but here's a guy that's only registered 870 career at bats.  The whole package is just too good to turn your head- Morse gets my vote for most deserving. 



Michael Morse should be an All-Star

 Morse has come a long way since being drafted by the White Sox as a SS- a few years in the minors, and a run in with PED's to recover from a thigh injury.  The biggest thing he has going against him, is Joe-Blow baseball fan has no idea who he is.  He plays for the Nationals, and if you Google his name, he's not even the first picture that pops up (some cracked out looking mug shot does).  You've got to go three or four deep in baseball photos before you find one of him in a Nationals uniform.

Ethier and Kennedy should also get some recognition.  Kennedy has had a fringe-Cy Young type year so far, 8 wins with a 3.38 ERA and over 100 K's.  Plus he'll get some hometown love with the game being in Phoenix.  Ethier's overall numbers have not been great, but he did put together a 30-game hit streak to bring some positive vibes to a team that really needed the goodwill.

WHO WILL WIN:

Shane Victorino- PHI
Why?  Because he plays for the Phillies, who happen to be the best team in baseball, and have sold out every home game since Christ left Chicago.  He won the final vote last year (which is a great reason why he shouldn't be eligible this year- but that's a whole different topic), and as an added bonus, any crazed Philly fan that votes for him at least 100 times is entered into a drawing to meet him at the ballpark!  Of the hitters on the ballot, he's probably the least worthy of an All-Star trip, but the most likely to get it.  Maybe I'll spend all afternoon voting for Morse to even up the stakes.   
 

The Woes of Daytona

Dale Earnhardt Jr. hates Daytona.  So do a lot of other people. 

By now, Dale Jr's rant after this weekend's Coke Zero 400 (formerly the Firecracker 400) at Daytona is legendary.  He doesn't like the new 2 car trains, doesn't like the close packs, and certainly doesn't like the amateur hour that seems to take place the last few laps when half the field wrecks and a no-namer wins.  I can't blame him- It's time for NASCAR to do something with this track.

In case you haven't seen it : http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=6736071

"What kind of move can you make?," was Dale's comment after the race.  He's got a point- with the new surface and plate rules at Daytona, you literally have to ride around hooked up to another car, and hope you don't wreck.  When you've got 20 other idiots around you doing the same thing at 200 MPH, it becomes a lot tougher than you'd expect.  There's no real passing, no "drive it in hard and hope that it sticks," it's just stay glued to the guy in front of you and hope he's going the same way you are.

Back in the day when guys like Dale Jr., Dale Sr., and Jeff Gordon were winning at Daytona, it was about horsepower and guts- sure you needed the drafting help, but when it came time to race, the five or six best cars always rose to the top.  Now, whoever wins the race is completely up to chance- you don't need things you can put into a race car to win - all you need is luck.  Sure, I can't win the race in my Altima, but the field is too evenly matched with the plates. 

I don't care what anyone says, Trevor Bayne and David Ragan being your two winners on the most famous circuit in NASCAR is not good for the sport.  Good for them- bad for NASCAR.

So, how do I propose we fix this dilemma?  I don't know.  Neither does Dale.  In his three minute rant, he seems to blame everyone from the brass to the media, but doesn't really offer up a solution.  One fix would be a rule change, but that seems out of the question.  There has always been drafting at Daytona- just not to the quirky extreme it is now.  Plus, how would you enforce/define violations?  Probably not the solution.

Another idea is to get rid of joint radio communications between "drafting partners."  Right now, the two-man teams share spotters and radio communications.  I'd be all for it- I don't really like to think of NASCAR as a true "team" sport.  I'm still not sure this is going to fix the problems- it will probably just create more wrecks with teams not being on the same page.

Taking the restrictor plates off the cars seems to be a popular idea amongst some fans, but it would make the race suicidally dangerous.  Rusty Wallace reportedly ran a few laps around Talladega "plate free" during a practice session a few years ago and hit over 230 MPH.  A major wreck would probably kill both the driver and some fans.  Think I'm crazy?  Look at Bobby Allison's wreck from 1987 in the Winston 500 at Talledega- it's one of the major reasons plates went on the cars in the first place.

I know there are a lot of fans that like the 2-man draft you see at Daytona and Talledega, but I'm going to side with the drivers and say that something has to change.  It's just not racing anymore at this point.

MLB All-Star Snubs, Surprises

With the thermostat getting cranked up here in Des Moines, its finally starting to feel like All-Star season in baseball.  Although the final tallies won't be released until Sunday night, MLB gave an update just a few days ago on who was leading the All-Star fan vote.  I thought it would be fun to take a look at the latest standings, and decide just how smart (or how stupid) the fans have been this season.

The standings: (as of June 28)

American League
CATCHER
Russell Martin, Yankees: 2,779,592
Alex Avila, Tigers: 2,345,065
Joe Mauer, Twins: 1,699,604


FIRST BASE
Adrian Gonzalez, Red Sox: 4,014,722
Mark Teixeira, Yankees: 3,077,242
Miguel Cabrera, Tigers: 2,184,480

SECOND BASE
Robinson Cano, Yankees: 4,724,816
Dustin Pedroia, Red Sox: 2,979,181
Ian Kinsler, Rangers: 1,896,259


THIRD BASE
Alex Rodriguez, Yankees: 3,735,406
Adrian Beltre, Rangers: 2,935,373
Kevin Youkilis, Red Sox: 2,724,286

SHORTSTOP
Derek Jeter, Yankees: 3,392,128
Asdrubal Cabrera, Indians: 2,885,778
Elvis Andrus, Rangers: 1,971,514


DESIGNATED HITTER
David Ortiz, Red Sox: 4,237,014
Michael Young, Rangers: 2,235,504
Jorge Posada, Yankees: 1,453,385

OUTFIELD
Jose Bautista, Blue Jays: 5,263,840
Curtis Granderson, Yankees: 4,582,419
Josh Hamilton, Rangers: 3,173,000
Jacoby Ellsbury, Red Sox: 3,051,675
Carl Crawford, Red Sox: 2,294,337
Nelson Cruz, Rangers: 1,912,783

National League
CATCHER
Brian McCann, Braves: 3,062,884
Yadier Molina, Cardinals: 2,271,887
Buster Posey, Giants: 1,849,984


FIRST BASE
Albert Pujols, Cardinals: 3,358,432
Prince Fielder, Brewers: 2,903,584
Joey Votto, Reds: 2,832,857


SECOND BASE
Rickie Weeks, Brewers: 2,869,583
Brandon Phillips, Reds: 2,791,186
Chase Utley, Phillies: 2,406,965


THIRD BASE
Placido Polanco, Phillies: 3,261,718
Chipper Jones, Braves: 2,040,594
Pablo Sandoval, Giants: 1,584,671


SHORTSTOP
Troy Tulowitzki, Rockies: 2,955,609
Jose Reyes, Mets: 2,710,777
Jimmy Rollins, Phillies: 1,724,166


OUTFIELD
Ryan Braun, Brewers: 3,932,100
Lance Berkman, Cardinals: 3,208,183
Matt Holliday, Cardinals: 2,935,965
Matt Kemp, Dodgers: 2,743,927
Andre Ethier, Dodgers: 2,264,640
Jay Bruce, Reds: 2,119,267

Biggest "The Fans Got It Right" Pick: Jose Bautista, OF-Blue Jays
Thank god he's the top overall vote-getter.  He's unstoppable.  For those that thought last year was an aberration, you've been quickly silenced by another great campaign in 2011.  He's the cornerstone of a franchise that's finally starting to show some life north of the border, and the best hitter in the game this season.

Biggest "The fans obviously don't pay attention to this position" pick: SS, both AL and NL
Just because you might have taken Derek Jeter and Troy Tulowitzki in the first round of your fantasy league doesn't mean they are the best players at their position (thank goodness Hanley Ramirez didn't make the list).  In the NL, Jose Reyes is having the best season of any hitter- he leads the league in batting average, and is a triples and stolen base machine.  You kind of get the sense it might be a contract year for him... In the AL, Jeter gets the nod because of his name, but pay attention to #2 on the list -Asdrubal Cabrera of the Indians.  He's a stud on defense, and can hit the ball for power and in the clutch.  He'll make the trip as a manager's selection, but should be the starter.  Truthfully, Jeter shouldn't even be in the top 3.

Biggest "Are these really the only guys that play this position?" spot: 3B- NL
Chipper Jones is my favorite player of all time.  Placido Polonco is a solid .300 hitter that you can count on every day.  Are either one of these two guys really All-Stars this year?  Look at the AL 3B situation- A-Rod, Beltre, Youk, the list goes on.  I guess with David Wright out with injury (he's 4th in votes by the way), it's a, "well, who the hell else plays this spot" kind of deal.

Biggest "I'm glad I play for a big market team" selection: Russell Martin, NY Yankees
Yeah, Alex Avila is the All-Star catcher in the AL.  No question.  Martin was great a few years ago, but he's been mediocre at best this season.  A close second is his teammate Jorge Posada.  The fact that fans think he's the third best DH in the AL is nuts.  He wasn't even hitting .200 for a good stretch of this season.

Biggest potential snub: Miguel Cabrera, 1B- Detroit Tigers
He's in third place because of the Boston/New York effect, and it's just a tough spot to get picked at.  Texiera and Gonzo have been top-notch hitters this year.  Cabrera is every bit as good, but may not get picked because 1B is such a deep position in the AL.  All three players deserve the selection. 

Biggest feel good selection: Lance Berkman, OF- Cardinals
What a year he's had.  If not for Berkman, the Cards would be long out of the race in the NL Central by now.  He had some rough years, playing through injury and criticism, but he's finally back where he belongs- soundly in a starting spot at the All-Star game.